SPRINGFIELD, Mass. (WWLP) - As we get closer to the cooler months we're likely to get more and more predictions for winter... not all of them seem to agree.
Don't worry, we still have plenty of summer-like weather left before we have to start getting worried about snowflakes falling and school closings. But that doesn't stop various predictions about what to expect during the winter.
On Monday 22News showed you the farmers almanac forecast for a cold and snowy winter for New England, but there's at least one less dire prediction out there.
Before the National Weather Service releases its official winter forecast later on this year, it does have a 3 month prediction for December through February and the results are better for western Massachusetts.
This preliminary prediction actually calls for above average temperatures for most of the United States including western Mass. and near normal amounts of rain and snow for us as well this winter.
Forecasts for the entire winter are likely to be adjusted before the first flakes fly, and one big storm or dry period can turn that forecast into a bust.
"Do you trust winter forecasts this far out?"
"Not necessarily. I think it may be hard to predict what's going to happen a couple months out," said Gabby Discenza from Longmeadow.
While many don't trust these forecasts, we can all make our own guesses.
"I think it's going to be a crazy winter, because last year it was warm and look what happened, that big snow storm, but nobody ever knows," said Jose Gomez from Holyoke.
In a normal year, around 49 inches of snow falls in the lower Pioneer Valley.
Last winter, we had 55 inches in Chicopee.